President Donald Trump will soon make it easier to export some types of
lethal US-made drones to potentially dozens more allies and partners,
according to people familiar with the plan.
Trump is expected to
ease rules for such foreign sales under a long-delayed new policy on
unmanned military aircraft due to be rolled out as early as this month,
the first phase of a broader overhaul of arms export regulations.
US
drone manufacturers, facing growing competition overseas especially
from Chinese and Israeli rivals who often sell under lighter
restrictions, have lobbied hard for the rule changes.
The White
House is expected to tout the move as part of Trump's "Buy American"
initiative to create jobs and reduce the US trade deficit. Human rights
and arms control advocates, however, warn it risks fueling violence and
instability in regions such as the Middle East and South Asia. An
announcement of the new policy has been held up for months amid
deliberations on how far to go in unleashing drones exports. That delay
prompted Defense Secretary Jim Mattis to write to Trump's national
security adviser H.R. McMaster to press him to expedite the policy shift
to avoid losing out on sales to certain countries, an industry source
and two U.S officials said.
A key thrust of the policy will be
to lower barriers to sales of smaller hunter-killer drones that carry
fewer missiles and travel shorter distances than larger models such as
the iconic Predator drone, the sources said. Export regulations will
also be eased for surveillance drones of all sizes, they said, speaking
on condition of anonymity.
Even though Trump will stop short of
completely opening up sales of top-of-the-line lethal drones, it will
mark a major step toward overcoming a long-standing US taboo against
selling armed drones to countries other than a handful of Washington's
most trusted allies. Military drones have changed the face of modern
warfare, with US models in greatest demand.
Trump's aides had
initially focused mostly on devising ways to boost sales of "eye in the
sky" drones used for tracking and targeting. But after a more than
year-long review, they have crafted a plan that will reinterpret some
rules to allow for more armed drone sales overseas.
A list of
potential buyers being given fast-track treatment is expected to expand
to include more NATO members, Saudi Arabia and other Gulf partners as
well as treaty allies such as Japan and South Korea, the people familiar
with the plan said.
Also likely to be in the favored group
would be key partners such as India, Singapore and Australia as well as
many of the 35 signatories to the Missile Technology Control Regime
(MTCR), an international agreement that sets rules for export of
missiles and related weaponry. The only sales of armed US drones in
recent years have been to Britain and Italy. "We're getting outplayed
all over the world," a US official told Reuters. "Why can our
competitors sell to our own allies the equipment they are clamoring to
buy from us? This policy is meant to turn that around."
A Trump
administration official, responding to a request for comment on the
story, said the US government is seeking to "minimize the self-inflicted
bureaucratic and administrative hurdles to US competitiveness in the
global aerospace markets."
The official insisted, however, that
any sales of armed drones would be in accordance with US law and require
that buyers adhere to international standards.
There was no immediate comment from the White House or Pentagon on the Mattis message to McMaster.
CHEAPER BUT STILL DEADLY ::
Two
potential beneficiaries of the rule changes, Textron and Kratos Defense
& Security Solutions Inc, currently market smaller armed drones
internationally, though US regulations have apparently restrained them
from securing sales so far.
Industry sources say other manufacturers are considering expanding their product lines.
The
overall loosening of drone export rules would also help producers such
as Boeing, Northrop Grumman, General Atomics and Lockheed Martin, two
industry sources said.
Company officials declined to comment ahead of the policy unveiling.
The
smaller drones that meet the new export guidelines are expected to be
much cheaper than high-end models such as the Predator and Reaper, both
made by General Atomics, which cost up to $17 million apiece according
to reports.
While they are less destructive than the larger
drones, their firepower can destroy vehicles, small structures and armed
positions.
US officials contend that a more export-friendly
approach will not only help meet Trump's 2016 campaign promise to
bolster America's "defense industrial base" but also get foreign
partners to take on more of their own defense costs.
An increase
in drones sales "could put these weapons in the hands of governments
that act irresponsibly with their neighbors and against their own
populations," warned Jeff Abramson, a senior fellow with the Arms
Control Association, a non-partisan Washington-based organization
focused on global weapons proliferation threats.
Trump's
predecessor, President Barack Obama, introduced revised rules in 2015
aimed at increasing military drone exports. But US manufacturers
complained they were still too restrictive.US drone makers are vying for
a larger share of the global military drone market, which the Teal
Group, a market research firm, has forecast will rise from $2.8 billion
in sales in 2016 to $9.4 billion in 2025.
The new policy is
expected to be unveiled in coming weeks, people close to the matter
said, though they also cautioned that the exact timing remains in flux.
Among
the changes will be a more lenient application by the US government of
an arms export principle known as "presumption of denial." This has
impeded many drone deals by automatically denying approval unless a
compelling security reason is given together with strict buyer
agreements to use the weapons in accordance with international law.
One
US official said the new policy would "change our calculus" by easing
those restrictions on whether to allow any given sale.
The MTCR -
a 1987 missile-control pact signed by the United States and 34 other
countries - will still require strict export controls on Predator-type
drones, which it classifies as Category 1, those with a payload of over
1,100 pounds (500 kg).
However, the Trump administration is
seeking to renegotiate the MTCR accord to eventually make it easier to
export the larger armed drones.
economictimes